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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Beryl-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/8Jmg0.png
Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall near Jacksonville Beach, Florida, at 1210AM EDT as a 70MPH tropical storm. At midnight Jacksonville NAS had sustained winds of 39mph gusting to 54mph and the Tropical Storm Warnings are still in effect. Beryl will continue to slowly move westward on Monday and weaken to a Tropical Depression in about 24 - 30 hours or less. Heavy rainfall is still likely over northern Florida and southern Georgia on Monday and Tuesday. Tropical rain squalls are likely over the Florida peninsula on Monday. Rip currents continue as a threat along the coasts of Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Beryl-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/khvun.png
http://i.imgur.com/w7UOE.png Monday, May 28, 1230AM Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall near Jacksonville Beach, Florida, at 1210AM EDT as a 70MPH tropical storm. At midnight Jacksonville NAS had sustained winds of 39mph gusting to 54mph and the Tropical Storm Warnings are still in effect. Beryl will continue to slowly move westward on Monday and weaken to a Tropical Depression in about 24 - 30 hours or less. Heavy rainfall is still likely over northern Florida and southern Georgia on Monday and Tuesday. Tropical rain squalls are likely over the Florida peninsula on Monday. Rip currents continue as a threat along the coasts of Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Hurricane Carlotta-WARNINGS & UPDATES
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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Hurricane Carlotta-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Hurricane Carlotta
Eastern Pacific http://i.imgur.com/eYFsw.png WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA TO CABO CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOTTA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. Hurricane Carlotta is expected to exit Mexico back into the ocean, turn south and could possibly be in the Atlantic next week. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Wont affect us thank goodness,,,although our Hurricane Season is getting closer. I changed the title of the thread to Hurricane Carlotta
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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/OIbgk.png
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. *edit* Symbols are D= Depression S= Tropical Storm 1= Hurricane class 1 I followed this storm because at one point it was predicted to enter the Gulf Of Mexico. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/c1eQQ.png
THE GALE FORCE LOW IN THE NW ATLC HAS NOW GAINED ENOUGH CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS TROPICAL STORM CHRIS. AS OF 2100 UTC...T.S. CHRIS IS LOCATED AT 39.3N 57.7W...OR ABOUT 490 NM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. CHRIS IS MOVING E AT 7 KT. MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE STORM CENTER. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 FOR MORE DETAILS. http://i.imgur.com/BOAYM.png |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/g41Gl.png
Code:
http://i.imgur.com/7RyjL.pngGULF OF MEXICO... THE UPPER LOW OVER NE MEXICO REMAINS NEAR 26N99W COVERING THE NW GULF WHILE A SECOND UPPER LOW OVER THE NE GULF APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING THIS MORNING AND IS CENTERED NEAR 28N87W. THE S GULF IS DOMINATED BY AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE CARIBBEAN. LOW LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH OPPOSING UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 27N E OF 90W THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND OVER FLORIDA FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE SOUTHWARD. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE W GULF S OF 16N W OF 94W AND OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 21N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE W GULF W OF 93W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC OVER THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH ABOUT 300 NM WNW OF BERMUDA. A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE SE GULF THIS MORNING. ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER YUCATAN AND MOVE INTO THE S CENTRAL GULF THU THEN DRIFT NW TO NEAR 24N93W SUN WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE NE GULF. CARIBBEAN SEA... BROAD UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN ANCHORED NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS GIVING THE MOST OF CARIBBEAN ENE FLOW ALOFT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN FROM W CUBA NEAR 22N84W ALONG 19N87W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS NEAR 15N88W. SCATTERED TO HEAVY SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 18N TO INLAND OVER CUBA BETWEEN 75W-83W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE E CARIBBEAN N OF 14N E OF 66W INCLUDING THE LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE NW ACROSS THE YUCATAN AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE INTO THE SE CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING THEN BECOME DIFFUSE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN THU. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE SE CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/c4Tcm.png
GULF OF MEXICO... AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NW TO THE LOUISIANA/TEXAS COAST COVERING ALL BUT THE FAR NE GULF. DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO THE W OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND TEXAS. AN UPPER LOW IS INLAND OVER S ALABAMA EXTENDING AN UPPER TROUGH TO OVER THE FAR NE GULF. THE ACTIVITY OVER THE E GULF IS DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF AS A NEW LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER YUCATAN TODAY AND MOVE INTO THE S CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT POSSIBLY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK NE TO THE E GULF SUN AND MON. http://i.imgur.com/BOAYM.png Forecast for Gulf of Mexico disturbance Wind shear is predicted to remain in the moderate to high range through Friday. Water vapor satellite loops show a region of dry air over the Northern Gulf of Mexico; this dry air is probably too far away to significantly interfere with development. I expect we will see an increase in the disturbance's heavy thunderstorm activity today as a result of less interfence from dry air. By Saturday, our two top models, the European model (ECMWF) and GFS, predict that wind shear could fall to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, which would potentially allow the disturbance to approach tropical depression status by Sunday. A trough of low pressure pushing off of the U.S. East Coast will be capable of grabbing the disturbance and accelerating it to the northeast on Sunday, as predicted by the GFS model, which takes the disturbance across Florida on Sunday, and into the waters off the coast of South Carolina by Monday. The GFS does not develop the disturbance while it is in the Gulf of Mexico, but suggests it could develop into a tropical or subtropical depression off the coast of South Carolina Monday or Tuesday. The latest ECMWF model run (00 UTC) predicts that this through will not be strong enough to pull the disturbance northeastwards across Florida, and the disturbance will instead linger in the Gulf of Mexico for many days, giving it time to develop into a tropical depression next week. The UKMET and NOGAPS models predict a more westward drift, with the disturbance affecting the Mexico/Texas border region 6 - 7 days from now. At this point, we can't rule out any location in the Gulf being affected by this system, though the Gulf coast of Florida has the highest probability of seeing impacts. NHC is giving the disturbance a 30% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Saturday morning. This is a reasonable forecast, and the odds will probably rise by Friday, and I give the disturbance a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Monday morning. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/fYHjh.png
http://i.imgur.com/3QtQz.png 96L is still quite a jumper. Between 6AM EDT and 9AM EDT, the LLC re-centered, "jumped," yet again. Such is often the pattern of underdeveloped, or marginally developed, tropical cyclones. So now the LLC is centered roughly near 26N 88W, and looks to be drifting slowly to the west. However, despite this present westward slide, the net effect of all of these jumps has been to establish the system appreciably farther north, and it now lies in the east-central Gulf of Mexico, putting coastal locations along the eastern Gulf of Mexico under greater risk from rip currents and minor flooding, earlier than might have been anticipated by many. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are likely to be issued sooner rather than later, and may even go out before the cyclone is named, but unfortunately, any watches that would go up now would have to cover an unusually wide area, given the uncertainties that still exists, so it is prudent that NHC waits until the next round of model runs and today's recon flight. However, by holding off, is also possible that should 96L be upgraded (virtually a 100% likelihood), it is upgraded strait to a tropical storm, potentially even in the 45-55 MPH range. If named, Debby would be the earliest fourth named storm in the Atlantic, not to mention make this the first June on record with a fourth named storm in the basin. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
TS Debby
http://i.imgur.com/fdnRK.png GULF OF MEXICO... THE ATTENTION THIS EVENING HAS TURNED TO NEW DEVELOPED TROPICAL STORM DEBBY LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 87.6W AT 23/2100 UTC. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE SPECIAL FEATURE ABOVE. THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED TO THIS SYSTEM IS VERY BROAD AND COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF...THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THE FAR WEST ATLC. TO DEPICT THE COVERAGE OF THE CIRCULATION...A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 30N85W TO JUST N OF THE CENTER OF DEBBY NEAR 28N87W...AND ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH FROM JUST S OF THE CENTER NEAR 24N87W CONTINUING INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ALONG 21N89W. THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ERN GULF WATERS E OF 87W S OF 30N...AS WELL AS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THERE ARE A FEW CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. OTHERWISE...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SITTING OVER THE NW BASIN NEAR 28N93W. HOWEVER THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THIS FEATURE IS MINIMAL DUE TO DRY AIR INTRUSION NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. I have included several different plots within this map. That's the A's, the blue dots, and the other stuff. It's all very general at this point until later on. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
TS DEBBY
http://i.imgur.com/ieO50.png included are two model predictions, Accuaweather (F) and another model, in blue dots. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... THE CENTER OF STATIONARY TROPICAL STORM DEBBY AT 24/1200 UTC IS NEAR 27.5N 87.0W...OR ABOUT 170 MILES/270 KM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 994 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM 24N TO LAND BETWEEN 82W AND 86W. THIS AREA INCLUDES THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND TAMPA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE BAHAMAS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 24N76W NEAR THE EXUMA SOUND. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST OF 90W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS... IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SEA HEIGHTS THAT ARE 16 FEET ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. SEA HEIGHTS THAT ARE 12 FEET OR HIGHER ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT43/WTNT24 KNHC AND THE PUBLIC ADVISORY MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Storm Debbie-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/NgmvG.png
s= tropical storm a= accuweather model prediction. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY AT 25/1800 UTC IS NEAR 29.0N 85.2W...OR ABOUT 50 MILES/80 KM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 995 MB. DEBBY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 3 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 30.5N85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS FROM 26N TO 27N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE NORTH OF 24N TO THE WEST OF 75W...INCLUDING ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. SIMILAR PRECIPITATION IS EVEN FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN 66W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS WERE MOVING TOWARD THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THEY APPEAR TO HAVE WEAKENED DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS AT THE EDGE OF THE LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS AROUND T.S. DEBBY ALONG 25N87W 22N91W 21N96W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS WITHIN 30 TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 26N82W 23N89W 20N96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IN TWO CELLS IS IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Tropical Storm Debby Drenches Florida
http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/image...508_de22-1.jpg Tropical Storm Debby has uprooted trees and damaged homes Tropical Storm Debby has drenched the US state of Florida, bringing flooding to parts and leading the governor to declare a statewide emergency. The knot of low pressure has lingered over the Gulf of Mexico since Sunday evening, bringing a constant barrage of wind and rain. State officials say at least 35,000 homes and businesses have had power knocked out by the extreme weather. One woman died on Sunday after the storm whipped up tornadoes. Crews in Alabama are meanwhile continuing their search for a South Carolina man missing off the coast. The man, who was on holiday with his family, disappeared on Sunday afternoon in rough surf off Orange Beach. Residents in low-lying neighbourhoods near the Florida coast have been advised to leave their homes, while the bridge to St George Island - a popular vacation spot - has been closed off. Forecasters said the storm's maximum sustained winds weakened slightly to 45 mph (75 km/h), from 50mph, but say its strength is not likely to change over coming days. Still, the US National Hurricane Center expects the storm to dump an additional 6-12in (15-30cm) over the area in the next few days. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a statewide emergency on Monday. The move allows the state to suspend certain laws as it responds to the storm, and access federal funds. "Because of the broad impact of Tropical Storm Debby, virtually every county in Florida could be affected," Mr Scott said in a statement. END 25 June 2012 Last updated at 18:04 ET In Pictures: Storm Debby Batters Florida
Click on the thumbnails of the pics to enlarge them. ;) . |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
TS Debby
http://i.imgur.com/Oq7BC.png TS Debby was located about 65 miles west of Cedar Key at Noon, Tuesday, and was moving slowly to the east. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 40mph so Debby is now a minimal Tropical Storm. Landfall is likely Wednesday morning but no increase in intensity is expected and Debby should decrease to Tropical Depression strength on Wednesday as the cyclone crosses the Florida peninsula and moves into the Atlantic Thursday morning. If it survives the crossing, Debby could regain Tropical Storm strength later on Thursday into Friday as the system moves east northeast and northeast into the Atlantic. Periods of heavy rain can still be expected in northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Feeder bands with brief rain squalls and gusty winds continue to redevelop over the Florida peninsula. A = Accuweather prediction blue dot = different model prediction I know this area well. It's not far from my home town. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/Z7AAK.png
Debby has been downgraded to a tropical depression, but the official forecast takes it back to Tropical Storm strength once over Florida, but then going out to sea. It's legacy is flooding rains and some storm surge along the Gulf. Bringing Jacksonville another round of Tropical Storm rainfall after Beryl earlier in the year, along with extreme Flooding in the Big Bend and eastern Panhandle, along with spotty flooding along the west coast of Florida. Wakulla County was likely the hardest hit area, with flooding not seen in recent memory, houses along the Sopchoppy river (even those on stilts) were flooded. Much of the rainfall on the southwest side is gone, with only a few narrow bands left, the majority of the rainfall is to the northeast of the center, which made landfall earlier today. Official movement is East northeast at 6 mph, but latest radar and satellite observations seem to imply it is briefly back over the gulf, and moving south southeast. Debby has been an extremely difficult forecast, and the the GFS model, with new upgrades this year, wound up doing the best. One of the aspects of the difficulty earlier on was the reformation of the center of Debby, which pulled it up into an area with very little steering currents (but enough shear to rip the convection off to the northeast) Until Debby has moved well offshore, I wouldn't consider it over, however. In the far east Atlantic, another area is worth watching for development, it currently has a 10% chance, but it may develop later into the week or next week. The situation out east does not rule it out approaching the Caribbean eventually, so it'll have to be monitored over the next two weeks. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/I4XZV.png
Debby is making a fair run at becoming declared tropical again. Should current trends continue, it is looking increasingly possible that advisories get restarted on Tropical Storm Debby as soon as later today. Debby is moving faster to the east-northeast, and as of this update, is centered a few hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda. Based on recent satellite, scatterometer and buoy data, Debby is once again producing sustained winds of at least 40MPH, probably higher, with heavy rain and thunderstorms ongoing in its top half. While it is not likely that Bermuda takes a direct impact from the re-energized Debby, it is probable that it will at least see some showers, thunderstorms, and perhaps some gusts to tropical storm force. In the longer term, after passing Bermuda the cyclone should continue going out to sea, and may get absorbed by a large, non-tropical low now exiting the east coast. http://i.imgur.com/HLJvi.png |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/vXbIc.png
http://i.imgur.com/BOAYM.png Nothing at this time to report other than areas of interest. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/wToja.jpg
After Debbie, the Atlantic has remained mostly quiet, this morning there is an area off Southeast Florida that currently has a 10% chance for development. Likely it will just enhance rainfall over southeast and parts of Central Florida and the Bahamas. If the disturbance makes it across the state into the Gulf, it could gradually gain strength there, and is worth watching through this week. It is not an official invest, so no direct model runs have been made on it but may later today. |
Has a 60% chance of becoming a ts
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. :sh*t: |
Re: Has a 60% chance of becoming a ts
Atlantic Tropical Depression FIVE Advisory Number 1
08/01/2012 04:38 PM EDT 000 WTNT35 KNHC 012036 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 500 PM AST WED AUG 01 2012 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.2N 49.0W ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA. THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. LUCIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ON FRIDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. |
Re: Has a 60% chance of becoming a ts
http://i.imgur.com/2foLv.gif
http://i.imgur.com/DrpHd.gif When it is named, it will be called Ernesto. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Ernesto-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Ernesto is now in the Eastern Caribbean, moving very rapidly westward, likely will continue on it's westward motion for a good while.
91L is now being track southeast of Florida. This was the wave mentioned early in the week, and now has a 20% chance for development over the next 48 hours as it brings enhanced rainfall to central and south Florida now through the weekend. 90L has a 50% chance for development in the far east Atlantic, odds favor this one staying out to sea. http://i.imgur.com/Ra34U.gif http://i.imgur.com/ECVKC.png |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Tropical Storm Ernesto
http://i.imgur.com/gOM2F.png AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PASS SOUTH OF JAMAICA THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE NORTH OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS ERNESTO MOVES OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN JAMAICA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN GRAND CAYMAN TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...AND IN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS BY LATE MONDAY. SOME SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI TODAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN JAMAICA AS ERNESTO MOVES BY THE ISLAND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HAITI TODAY. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Ernesto
http://i.imgur.com/DdNwP.gif Recon has found an eyewall, a fully circular one and 6 nautical miles wide in Ernesto this morning, after not finding much of anything yesterday. Based on this, I'd expect a special advisory fairly soon and Hurricane Watches and Warnings up for Honduras/Belize fairly soon. This area of the Caribbean is known for rapid intensification of storms, and if Ernesto has the eyewall as stated by the recon vortex message, intensification is already underway and is probably a hurricane now. Those in the current Tropical Storm Warning areas and Belize should be preparing for a possibly strong hurricane approaching. Florence http://i.imgur.com/G40Ib.gif AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST. A WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/aAVIh.gif
Hurricane Ernesto made landfall along the coast of the extreme southern Yucatan at about 10:00 PM CDT near Mahahual, MX., and is now crossing the peninsula. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Erneso
http://i.imgur.com/fLku3.gif Much of Erneso's internals actually organized more into landfall, and for the first several hours after landfall a distinct eye feature was still very noticeable in the enhanced infrared images. Tropical cyclones that intensify into landfall and go on to cross a peninsula (such as Florida, or in this case, the Yucatan) often have a very good chance of pulling things back together rapidly once getting back out over the water. Such appears to be the case with Ernesto, with recon finding winds up at 5,000' of nearly 100 MPH, and peak surface winds of around 65 MPH, which has been set as the current advisory as of 11:00 PM EDT Aug. 8. Ernesto has a window of about 12-30 hours, based on exact track and forward speed, to become a hurricane again. At present, this looks likely, and that is reflected in NHC's official forecast which is calling for a second Ernesto landfall as a hurricane, this time with the center coming ashore somewhere between Veracruz and Chilitepec, MX.. It is expected that Ernesto will drop widespread rainfall totals of 3"-9", with potentially much higher totals in some locations, over Tabasco, Veracruz, Puebla & northern Oaxaca through Friday, with even more heavy rain possible over the weekend. As a result, dangerous inland flooding will probably occur in parts of these states from today through Sunday. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Ernesto
http://images.myfilehost.us/images/opt1344620277i.gif Ernesto is weakening rapidly over Mexico and may venture into the Eastern Pacific basin, where it has a small chance to regenerate there. Note: Ernesto has fell below a TS and is now dissipated according to the report from the National Weather Service as of 10 am today. Tropical Depression 7 has formed in the Atlantic, and is forecast to become and then remain a tropical storm and move rapidly westward over the next few days. Those in the Leewards will want to watch it. Another wave in the far east Atlantic has a 30% chance for development over the next 3 days (i93l) The remnants of Florence remain to the northeast of the Caribbean, it has a 10% chance for redevelopment, and should be watched since it will likely cross into the Bahamas later. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/vV6dA.png
------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...29 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. |
Re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Issac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
22 August 2012
http://i.imgur.com/fELkE.png http://i.imgur.com/OI2OZ.png 96L is likely to become TD#10 today, this storm will likely stay out to sea. http://i.imgur.com/ovFvV.png Tropical Storm Issac is currently about 280 miles east of the Lesser Antilles this morning, and moving westward around 18 miles per hour. It will likely cross the northeastern Caribbean islands this afternoon, and be in the northeastern Caribbean, the forecast takes it to hurricane status by the time it is south of Puerto Rico. Because of the proximity to Puerto Rico at the time, and it being in the cone, Hurricane Watches are now up for Puerto Rico and the US Vrigin Islands. The closest approach to Puerto Rico should be around Tomorrow Afternoon. Beyond that, it is forecast to approach the island of Hispaniola, still as a hurricane, so Hurricane watches have been raised for the Dominican Republic. Saturday morning is when it should be near Hispaniola. The forecast then takes it briefly across the western part of Haiti, and eastern Cuba, approaching the Bahamas and potentially Florida after that. Central and South Florida is in the cone as of this morning, but so is Jamaica, and the Northern Bahamas. It remains prudent to watch beyond the Hurricane Watch areas, but much could change that far out. Still, based on the official Hurricane track, if Isaac were to approach South Florida, conditions would deteriorate late Sunday Afternoon and Evening and landfall would likely be Monday morning is when it would be near South Florida, if it were to approach there as a borderline cat 1/2 hurricane. Intensity forecasts are usually off and the strength of the system could be weak or strong based on exactly how much land interaction occurs with Hispaniola. Many systems have been torn up by the mountains there, never to fully recover. Last year, another I storm, Irene was also forecast toward Florida at this point (See the forecast history for Irene (2011)), this one is in a similar spot, but conditions around it are different from last year. This is brought up to show that the forecast can change, and to keep watching it over the next few days, by the time it nears Hispaniola there should be a better idea of the eventual track of the system. You should have already prepared for hurricane season much earlier this year. In short, those in the watch area need to prepare for a possible hurricane (PR/VI and Hispaniola), and those in the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida need to keep tabs on this system especially as it nears Hispaniola. The models will shift west and east over time, even the Gulf of Mexico to Carolinas cannot be ruled out, anywhere in the cone should be watching the system very closely. |
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Joyce Forms, Issac Remains Weak in the Caribbean
http://i.imgur.com/O81nZ.png TD#10 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Joyce, not affecting mainland land, but could approach Bermuda. http://i.imgur.com/gQ0Hb.png Isaac's track has not changed much, and the spread is still fairly much the same. All of Florida and the Gulf will need to watch. Isaac may be weak right now, but it is a very large system, and impacts will be felt a good distance from wherever the center passes. A large system is more capable of driving storm surge along the coast as well. Strength wise, conditions are very good for intensification when, and if, it gets its act together. 7AM EDT Update 23 August 2012 Tropical Storm Isaac remains a large but disorganized Tropical Storm this morning, as recon failed to find an organized center overnight, and wind speed is down to 40mph. It seems to be still suffering from competing centers. Today is a day of transition and not much will change with the future track, tomorrow becomes more interesting based on how close and how much time the system spends over Hispaniola. Conditions are expected to improve tomorrow, and Hurricane Warnings are up for Hispaniola, mainly in the southwestern part, and all of Haiti. In the short term, jogs and center relocation will make getting a handle on the future track difficult, but the general pattern of the NHC's track seems good. TD#10 will likely be upgraded to a Tropical Storm later today, and Bermuda is in the long range cone. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac-WARNINGS & UPDATES
It doesnt feel weak here..... and they are going to hit us one after another;
Hurricane Season 2012 2012 North Atlantic Storms North Atlantic, East Pacific, Western Pacific, Indian Ocean http://www.wunderground.com/data/dhc...rts/at2012.gif :crap: Hope I can still get on line as they continue :cry3: |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac & Joyce-WARNINGS & UPDATES
From now until Sept, it's the middle of the heavy season. During that time the 'train effect' is well known. It's one storm after another leaving the coast of Africa that will build depressions and TSs with some that will make them and some that won't. But it comes like train cars on the rail, one after another.
If there is anything to be thankful for in your location Ladybbird, it's that it doesn't have the build time those that make it to the states do. That is not to say they aren't dangerous or that you never experience the class 5 storms. Hurricanes are nothing if not unpredictable, despite all the weather men would have you believe. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac & Joyce-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Quote:
This is what we are experiencing now here; http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/6...-GOES-FULL.jpg |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac & Joyce-WARNINGS & UPDATES
November is indeed the ending date of hurricane season. Even there, there are occurrences of hurricanes outside the ending date.
What I've seen odd in the last few years more so than ever before are those trying to return on the mid-latitudes towards Europe. Such as Gordon, the last hurricane that nearly made landfall in Portugal. I do question the part about climate change. You see, I am neither a believer of we're doing it nor am I a believer of we have no effect at all. I tend to believe we are not in the picture painted by the Global Warming group being as bad as stated by them. They have vested interests in making it sound that bad for research funding and it's been shown that any of their colleagues that would dispute that are blackballed to prevent any notion to the contrary. The same with those that claim we aren't doing anything that effects the climate. They too have monetary interests in not having to tool up for environmental considerations. I have a real difficult time in believing mankind as a whole is doing as much as nature does herself at any given time she should pick to show us. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac & Joyce-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Thank goodness our TS from Issac seems to have calmed down, but it did cause some damage, but not to my house. I learnt a couple of years ago to move inland and higher, away from the beach.
Unfortuately you were right PS and Issac is gaining strength as it heads towards the US http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...s/at201209.gif By Tuesday it will be a Hurricane 1; Storm Name: Isaac (forecast point) Category: Hurricane (category 1) Wind Speed (mph/knots): 92 / 79.9 Pressure: NA Position: 30/-86.5 Forward Speed (mph/knots): NA / NA Direction: NA Date/Time: 2012-Aug-28 2000 EDT ...ISAAC GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD HAITI... 11:00 PM EDT Fri Aug 24 Location: 17.7°N 72.5°W Moving: NW at 14 mph Min pressure: 990 mb Max sustained: 70 mph Tropical Storm Isaac 24/8 11pm EDT - Isaac Getting Better Organized As It Moves Northwestward Toward Haiti 17.7N 72.5W Windspeed: 70 MPH - Pressure: 990mb Movement: Nw at 14 MPH http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...9/AL0912W5.gif http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...4_F120_sm2.gif http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...4_F120_sm2.gif CIMSS Animated Satellite: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/r...MOV8-4.09L.GIF http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/arc...092012mlts.gif http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/arc...L092012lts.gif |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season 2012 Has Started =Isaac & Joyce-WARNINGS & UPDATES
http://i.imgur.com/LeuJg.gif
http://i.imgur.com/BezMa.png WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TO SEBASTIAN INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO TARPON SPRINGS. THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season -ISSAC On "Destructive Crawl" in US
Poor old Haiti really took a battering from Issacl & I think Bermuda will too from Joyce. It is such a small island.
Thanks for the updates photostill. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season -ISSAC On "Destructive Crawl" in US
My real wish is that no one had to deal with the destruction they do.
However if someone must get this, I would wish it to bullseye the RNC in Tampa. Those idiots could do with a little unplanned excitement. I also wish the surrounding city spared. |
re: Hurricane/T.S Season -ISSAC On "Destructive Crawl" in US
http://i.imgur.com/UHvGO.png
Hurricane Issac is now approaching the Keys, still with 65mph maximum sustained winds. Recon is on its way to check it out. Hurricane watches have been dropped for the East Florida Coastline, but still are up for the Florida Keys. The model runs have been trending west, and as a result, Hurricane Watches are now up westward to Morgan City, LA (From Inidian Pass, FL) This includes New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. The timeline for the Gulf landfall is Wednesday morning between Gulfport and Biloxi, MS. However, the National Hurricane Center notes there is a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast currently. Isaac http://i.imgur.com/OUIVE.png Joyce http://i.imgur.com/MVAEG.png |
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