3. UFC 138: Cain Velazquez vs. Junior Dos Santos
Junior Dos Santos is coming into this title fight with a ton of momentum behind him, while Cain Velasquez is coming off of a major shoulder injury and has been inactive since pummeling Brock Lesnar back at UFC 121.
Dana White seems to think dos Santos still has some work to do before he can truly hang with Velasquez, and if it weren’t for the uncertainty surrounding the shoulder, there might be a better chance of Cain retaining his belt.
Chances of Champion losing his belt: There is definite possibility of Velazquez relinquishing the gold, but stylistically, the champ should have the advantage. He will also have home field advantage being that the fight is in San Jose. Let’s say there is a 40 percent chance of him losing his belt.