Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
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Whenever doubt starts appearing in the minds of NFL players, it's likely the beginning of the end.
Houston raced out to a 3-1 record and now finds itself sitting at .500—the worst winning percentage imaginable for this AFC South squad.
The Texans are 2-14 ATS in this situation and will likely be without wide receiver Andre Johnson for one more week.
It doesn't help that the team is 3-7 ATS in this series against Tennessee, including spread losses in four of the last five meetings inside Sunday's venue.
Tennessee is 19-6 ATS as a home favorite of three points or less, which means don't lay more than a field goal.
Pick: Tennessee Titans (-3)