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Re: Tropical Cyclone Oma Heading for Queensland Australia
Tropical Cyclone Oma Could Make it to the Queensland Coast Early Next Week, BOM Says
Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma could cross the southern Queensland coast within days after changing direction and continuing to move closer to the Australian mainland, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) says. ABC AU 21 Feb 2019 https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg The category two system is currently off New Caledonia, but tracking directly toward the southern Queensland coast. (Supplied: Bureau of Meteorology) Beach swells are continuing to build and will remain large for several days, with winds expected to increase significantly along the southern Queensland coast from Thursday night. "Currently, we expect Cyclone Oma to move south-west, and then a ridge to the south steers it back to the Queensland coast and may even bring it to a coastal crossing," forecaster Lauren Pattie said. "Early next week, we could see Oma cross the coast or move in a more north-westerly direction parallel to the coast." That could happen anywhere south from central Queensland to the New South Wales border. On Thursday morning, the category-two system was about 960 kilometres north-east of Brisbane, moving away from New Caledonia, where it had caused some coastal damage and flooding. It was heading south-west at eight kilometres per hour and is forecast to bring gale-force winds along exposed coastal parts of southern Queensland on Friday. "Seas and swell are also expected to increase well ahead of the approach of Oma," the BOM said in its latest severe weather warning. Waves between four and six metres are expected at some beaches and the large swell will not abate until next week, Ms Pattie said. https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-940x627.jpg The Bureau of Meteorology's forecast path for Cyclone Oma. (Supplied: BOM) A flood watch is current for catchments from south of Gladstone to the NSW border. "The closer she comes to the coast, the more significant that rainfall will be and the further inland it will push," Ms Pattie said. "We are expecting rainfall totals of between 100 and 200 millimetres per day from Saturday — isolated falls could be a lot heavier than that. "The most likely region for that rainfall is the Sunshine Coast and Wide Bay." Ms Pattie said it was rare for cyclones to cross the coast so far south. "It is unusual to have a tropical cyclone this far south, however it is not unprecedented," she said. "In 1990, [with] Tropical Cyclone Nancy, we had a watch out for the south-east coast. We also often see impacts from ex-tropical cyclones. "It is because we have a number of other weather systems and these other weather systems are influencing what happens to Tropical Cyclone Oma, so they can be a little stronger or weaker and have a big difference on where exactly she goes." BOM has also warned that abnormally high tides and dangerous surf conditions are expected along the Queensland coast from the town of 1770 to Coolangatta in the coming days. https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg A 4WD was submerged at Midge Point north of Mackay when the area was impacted by the king tide on Tuesday. (Supplied) It said dangerous surf conditions would develop on Thursday afternoon in the Fraser Island and Capricornia areas. "These conditions are then expected to extend south over remaining south-eastern Queensland coastal waters during Friday," BOM said. "Beach erosion is likely to continue with the hazardous marine conditions." Tuesday's king tide along coastal areas north of Mackay caused some erosion at Midge Point and the Pioneer River to flow into the nearby carpark. https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg A boat almost ready to cruise into partially flooded Argyle Street at Breakfast Creek in Brisbane this morning. (ABC News: Tim Swanston) Wednesday's high tide was forecast to exceed the highest tide of the year by around half a metre. Water Police Senior Sergeant David Edden said people should avoid any type of boating and water activities near surf-exposed areas for at least the next five days. "All boaties, fishers, surfers and swimmers should reconsider any plans which involve the surf over the coming days," he said. "It is also vital to check the security of your anchored vessel and ensure it is prepared for extreme winds and damaging swell. "Those already on the water should ensure they are carrying the appropriate safety equipment and are wearing lifejackets. "[They should] remember to log on with their local radio base and consider their safety management plan." Gold Coast lifeguards are expected to close beaches as the swell increases. Fencing has been removed from some Gold Coast beaches and the city's council has heavy machinery on standby to reprofile beaches and move sand to vulnerable locations. https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg Photo: The beach at Midge Point north of Mackay fell victim to the king tide with erosion along the shoreline. (Supplied: Heath Fraser) On the Sunshine Coast, Mooloolaba's fishing fleet has largely returned home ahead of the system. Mooloolah River Fisheries general manager Daryn Logan said only the bigger tuna boats and trawlers remained at sea and they were expected home within a day. "At the moment it's totally unpredictable, so as soon as they know where that's gone or what it's doing, they'll get out there," Mr Logan said. "In the meantime, the fishing grounds just get a bit of a forced rest." https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg The king tide impacted the Pioneer River boat ramp in Mackay on Tuesday, sending water into the car park. (Supplied: Todd Bollard) Bargara surfing instructor Keith Drinkwater said conditions would be assessed daily but classes were likely to be cancelled for the rest of the week. "A lot of sand erosion is going to occur but we just hope there's no damage, but nature takes its own course," he said. https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg Bargara surfing instructor Keith Drinkwater helps clean up debris from the king tide at Kelly’s Beach near Bundaberg. (ABC Wide Bay: Jenae Tien) "We have some classes booked every day but we've been very careful with what we do at the moment. "It could be fantastic for surfers over the next three or four days. "I'd hate to see learners and intermediate surfers go out there … you've got to be able to surf in your own means." https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg High tide at Brisbane's Breakfast Creek on Wednesday morning. (ABC News: Tim Swanston) . |
Two Severe Cyclones Heading For Australia
Two Severe Cyclones Barrelling Toward Australian Coasts
ABC News (Australia) 22 Mar 2019 https://www.abc.net.au/news/image/10...x2-700x467.jpg Severe tropical Cyclone Trevor, which authorities estimate is bigger than the state of Victoria, is set to cross the Northern Territory coast this morning. Meanwhile WA's Pilbara region is also bracing for Cyclone Veronica to make landfall. The system is expected to cross the coast somewhere between Port Hedland and Karratha this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Read more here: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-2... . |
Re: HURRICANE/TS Season-Storm Isaias in D.R.-Heading For US
Tropical Storm Isaias Crossing Dominican Republic With South Florida Still in Cone
AP, 31 JUL 2020. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/144952.png Tropical Storm Isaias is nearly done crossing the Dominican Republic, and the impacts South Florida and the Bahamas could see depend on what happens as the storm crosses the island’s high mountains. Isaias is about 85 miles southeast of the northern tip of the Dominican Republic, Puerto Plata, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 5 p.m. update. By Thursday afternoon, Isaias’ journey overland already started to take a toll. The storm contracted, with tropical-storm-force winds now stretching up to 310 miles out from the center as opposed to Thursday morning’s 415 miles. It maintained 60 mph winds and its speed of 20 mph. The last few updates have shifted the track east, with the core of the storm passing between South Florida and the northern Bahamas on Saturday, but forecasters said it will be hard to know which way the storm will head until it has passed through Hispaniola. https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/Vl...2c8f4bb6321f3a Tropical Storm Isaias is in the Dominican Republic. The center of Isaias is forecast to move diagonally across Hispaniola’s storm-shredding mountain range on Thursday, making landfall on the southeastern edge and emerging near the northern border of Haiti and the Dominican Republic. The storm is disorganized and still lacks a clearly defined center, which is what forecasters use to track the storm, so it’s hard to tell what shape it’ll be in when it enters open ocean again. “There’s a great deal of uncertainty, and today’s not going to provide a whole lot more certainty,” said Joel Cline, tropical program coordinator at NOAA’s weather service headquarters. “We’ll know a lot more tomorrow.” NHC forecasters predict Isaias may restrengthen Friday as it re-enters the ocean, but its exact track is still unclear. “Anywhere from the outer banks to the Florida Keys needs to really pay attention to this today and tomorrow. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best,” Cline said. As of 11 a.m. Thursday, the National Hurricane Center was predicting that South Florida could see between 65 and 70-mph winds as the storm nears the coast of Florida this weekend, although it said predicting the intensity of the storm is “challenging.” RELATED: 'You need to pay attention': virus-hit Texas readies for ... |
re: HURRICANE/TS Season-Laura & Marco-1 Hitting Caribbean-Both Heading for US
Cyclone Isaias Reaches Canada After Killing Five in US
At least five people have been killed as Tropical Storm Isaias swept through US states on the Atlantic Coast. BBC News 5 AUG, 2020. Two died when a tornado struck a mobile home park in North Carolina and at least three more were killed in New York, Delaware and Maryland. Isaias has since moved into south-eastern Canada and been downgraded to a post-tropical cyclone. The Canadian Hurricane Center has warned of heavy rainfall over southern Quebec. The ninth named storm of the year, Isaias hit Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic with hurricane strength winds last week killing at least two people. It uprooted trees, destroyed crops and homes and caused flooding and landslides. |
Re: HURRICANE/TS -NOAA WARNS Above-Normal 2022 Season
NOAA Predicts Above-Normal 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Ongoing La Niña, Above-Average Atlantic Temperatures Set The Stage For busy Season Ahead The Atlantic Hurricane Season lasts from 1 June 1 to 30 Nov. NOAA 23 JUN 2022 https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/f...52422-NOAA.png Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, are predicting above-average hurricane activity this year — which would make it the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. For the 2022 hurricane season, NOAA is forecasting a likely range of 14 to 21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. |
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