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Old 08-10-11, 03:42   #1
 
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Default UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions




The stacked-and-more-stacked UFC 136 card—headlined by not one but two title fights—will pop off this Saturday evening.
Are you ready? Getting excited? Got a little action going on this one?
Hopefully not yet. Because no one should ever, EVER make any wager (friendly or otherwise) without first consulting this space. Would I lie to you? My success rate is almost 20 percent. I’m almost literally shoving money into your pockets!

That is all metaphorical, of course, as gambling is almost completely illegal here in the United States. Even so, it’s still fun to make believe.
Odds courtesy of BetUSA.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:43   #2
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

11. Steve Cantwell vs. Mike Massenzio



Cantwell -150

The battle of the Brian Stann victims kicks off the portion of the event streaming live on Facebook. Cantwell is making his middleweight debut against Massenzio, who returns to 185 after a one-off with Krzysztof Soszyński at light heavyweight.
Though young Cantwell is favored and has a higher upside than Massenzio, he has lost three straight. His weight cut doesn’t appear to pose a major challenge on paper, but it’s still new, and any effects of the cut will be unknown until fight night.
So sound the alarms. Fire up the sirens. The first fight of the night is also YOUR first upset pick of the night.


Prediction: Massenzio by unanimous decision
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Old 08-10-11, 03:44   #3
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

10. Aaron Simpson vs. Eric Schafer






Simpson -500
Two UFC journeymen compete here for the fight to remain a UFC journeyman.
The 34-year-old Schafer (3-4 in the UFC) returns to the Octagon after about 18 months away from the promotion. The 37-year-old Simpson (5-2 in the UFC) has won two straight there.
Schafer has shown he is vulnerable in the standup, and Simpson has the chops to keep it vertical and close the deal.

Prediction:
Simpson by TKO, Rd. 2
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Old 08-10-11, 03:44   #4
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

9. Zhang Tie Quan vs. Darren Elkins





Zhang -145

Before he entered the UFC, Zhang was 14-1, with 10 victories by submission. In his UFC debut in February, it only took Zhang 48 seconds to score the submission victory.
I have no reason to bet against it happening one more time.


Prediction: Zhang by submission, Rd. 1. Submission of the night, right here.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:45   #5
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

8. Joey Beltran vs. Stipe Miocic





Miocic -250

Beltran is proving to be something of a lower-level gatekeeper in the heavyweight division. The well-rounded Miocic, who has won all six of his professional fights due to a striking-related stoppage, seems primed to pass the test.


Prediction: Miocic by TKO, Rd.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:47   #6
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

7. Anthony Pettis vs. Jeremy Stephens





Pettis -325

The first of the evening’s two fights scheduled to air free on Spike TV, this one should be a real crowd pleaser. It’s a classic thunder vs. lightning matchup, with Pettis’ “Showtime” striking lining up across from ‘Lil Heathen’s heavy hands.

It’s the odds-on favorite for Fight of the Night. And you know what? I can’t argue.


Prediction: Pettis by unanimous decision. Fight of the Night right here.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:48   #7
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

6. Demian Maia vs. Jorge Santiago





Maia -275
Maia will be trying for his second straight win in the UFC. But perhaps more importantly, he’ll likely be looking to display his improved striking against a skilled, if underachieving, standup artist in Santiago.
In the end, however, Maia will use his bread and butter to garner the win.


Prediction: Maia by submission, Rd. 2
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Old 08-10-11, 03:50   #8
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

5. Melvin Guillard vs. Joe Lauzon




Guillard -340

Guillard has all the momentum in the event’s first main-card fight. He has proven prone to a Lauzon specialty—the submission. Then again, Lauzon has proven prone to a Guillard speciality—the knock-you-the-eff-out. Advantage goes to the man with the longer winning streak and the no-longer-so-unrealistic title ambitions.


Prediction: Guillard by TKO, Rd. 2.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:51   #9
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

4. Leonard Garcia vs. Nam Phan





Phan -210

The judges may have disagreed, but Phan still beat Garcia once. He can do it again.
Prediction: Phan by unanimous decision
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Old 08-10-11, 03:52   #10
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

3. Chael Sonnen vs. Brian Stann





Sonnen -260

It’s a cool matchup—who doesn’t love both of these guys?—but the exciting names up on the marquee won’t match the reality on the ground. And I mean that literally. This one is Sonnen by smother.

Prediction:
Sonnen by unanimous decision
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Old 08-10-11, 03:54   #11
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

2. Jose Aldo vs. Kenny Florian





Aldo -350

Aldo is a good champion, a great fighter and a darling of the hardcore fan set. But he has never gone into the deep water.
Interesting, because that’s Kenny Florian’s specialty.
Florian is too smart to simply stand in front of Aldo and absorb those nasty leg kicks. And let’s not forget that Aldo had some trouble with Mark Hominick in his first UFC bout.
It’s true that the UFC fast-tracked Florian to the featherweight title shot. And it’s true that Florian has shown a certain, ah, sluggishness before under the very brightest lights. But he’s too smart not to learn from his mistakes. Aldo has never found himself in a grinding match—not recently, anyway. He’s a jiu-jitsu black belt so he certainly has the tools, but it’s a different story when you’re fighting for a full house.
I think you see where I’m going here. That’s right: against the grain, baby. Prime the pump. Turn the hand crank. Let me hear those alarms. Let me hear the dogs a-ululating.
Other people may be afraid to bet against the young wrecking machine. But I am not other people.
I could just take the safe route, pick Aldo by TKO and then sit back and absorb the applause.
Or, I could say that this Saturday night, at UFC 136, under that bright blanket of Texas stars, we will crown a new UFC featherweight champion of the world.
Just don’t forget where you heard it.
Although if it doesn’t happen, yes, please do forget. Thanks.
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Old 08-10-11, 03:55   #12
 
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Default Re: UFC 136 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions

1. Frankie Edgar vs. Gray Maynard





Edgar -150

Finally, the waiting is over.


More than a year after they fought to a draw at UFC 125, Edgar and Maynard will fight for a third time, and hopefully break the logjam that has gummed up the lightweight division works like a kilo of Wisconsin sharp cheddar.
Here’s the thing with this one. Edgar has heart and endurance for miles. He is thelittle engine that could. He has impeccable footwork, almost peerless speed and the sharp hands to carve you up. He’s not the champion for nothing.
And now for the “but."
We all saw the way Maynard manhandled Edgar in the first round. We also saw how Edgar fought back. Nevertheless, that first stanza left no doubt (at least in my mind) of who the better fighter was when all other things were equal. And, of course, none of this is to mention the fact that Maynard defeated Edgar in their first engagement.
To put it another way, I don’t think the undefeated Maynard will let Edgar off the hook again. Maynard probably has a slight edge in grappling. And he has the size and strength advantage. And if you think that doesn’t matter much, ask Demetrious Johnson what he thinks about it.
That’s right. The alarms, they don’t stop coming. Once UFC 136 is all said and done, Dana White will have bestowed the gold on not one but two new recipients. Mark it down.


Prediction: Maynard by first-round TKO. Knockout of the Night, right here.
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