25-05-12, 17:29
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#37
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The Enigma
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 9,977
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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Season=Beryl-WARNINGS & UPDATES
Eastern side
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 33N76W TO 30N78W TO A 1009 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 28N78W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO
JUST TO THE EAST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...ACROSS WESTERN CUBA INTO
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 20N85W...THROUGH THE GULF
OF HONDURAS TO WESTERN EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS FROM 28N TO 31N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W...AND FROM
18N TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 78W AND 83W.
THIS PRECIPITATION ALSO COVERS PARTS OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND
SURROUNDING WATERS. THIS AREA HAS BEEN CLOUDY AND RAINY FOR THE
LAST FOUR TO FIVE DAYS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR THE FORMATION OF A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE BY SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. THE LOW CENTER SHOULD
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WESTWARD TURN ON SATURDAY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...
FLOODING...AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE
NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND CENTRAL CUBA. RESIDENTS
WHO LIVE ALONG AND/OR WHO OWN PROPERTY THAT IS ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR CLOSELY THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE
READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE THAT IS IN YOUR AREA FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THIS SITUATION.
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Western side
...BUD WEAKENS SOME...STILL A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.4N 105.6W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
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